GLA Projections Archive – Documents and Methodology
This page contains documentation for superseded GLA population and household projections. Projections are updated annually incorporating the latest data as it becomes available.
Projections from older rounds are provided here to illustrate how projections have changed over time and to ensure that data underpinning past project work can be identified and referenced. However, where possible users should use data from the most recently produced round.
The current round of projections can be downloaded from data.london.gov.uk/demography.
For archived projections data see the projections archive: data.london.gov.uk/gla-projections-archive
2019-basedTrend resultsVariant analysisTrend model methodologyExpert panel review
2018-based
Trend results
Trend model methodology
2017-based
Trend results
2016-based
Trend model methodology
Housing-led model methodology
Small area model methodology
Ethnic group model methodology
Trend results
Trend results (report workbook)
Wider South East results
Wider south East Results (report workbook)
Ethnic Group results
Ethnic Group results (report workbook)
Employment-led projections
2015-based
Trend model methodology
Trend model methodology Annex
Trend model methodology (report workbook)
Small area model methodology
Housing-led model methodology
Trend results
Trend results (report workbook)
Housing-led results
Housing-led results (report workbook)
2015 round
Trend results
Trend results (report workbook)
Ethnic group model methodology
Ethnic group model results
Ethnic group model results (report workbook)
Ethnic group model extension
Ethnic group model extension (report workbook)
2014 round
Trend model methodology
Trend model methodology (report workbook)
Trend results
Trend results (report workbook)
Ethnic group model results
Ethnic group model results (report workbook)
2013 round
Trend results
Trend results (report workbook)
Technical note on model variants
Technical note on model variants (report workbook)
Ethnic group model results
Ethnic group model results (report workbook)
2012 round
Projection results
Projection results (report workbook)
Ethnic group model results
Ethnic group model results (report workbook)
Ethnic group model interim results
Ethnic group model interim results (report workbook)
2011 round
Trend model Technical note
2010 round
Projection results
Ethnic group model results
2009 round
Projection results